Alphalytics
Follow
NasdaqIdle
Awaiting cross
IPO
HyperliquidIdle
—
Kraken xStocksIdle
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Source: Nasdaq via Finnhub SSE · Hyperliquid WebSocket · Kraken WebSocket v2 (hover each tile for venue disclaimer)

Milestones
S-1 Filed·—Offer Price Set·—Roadshow Begins·—Order Intake Closes·—Formal Pricing·—First Trading Day·—Options Begin Trading·—

Source: SEC EDGAR (S-1 / S-1/A), SpaceX IPO roadshow deck, Nasdaq, and financial press (Reuters, CNBC). Admin-overridable via data/milestones.json.

Markets

Markets

Price

—SPCX · USDC

Source: Hyperliquid public API — WebSocket trades + REST candle snapshots

Markets

Multi-venue comparison

Normalized % change · 1D candles

Nasdaq
Hyperliquid
Kraken xStocks

Waiting for 1D venue history to load…

Source: Normalized 1D % change from each venue's session-open print · Nasdaq (Finnhub), Hyperliquid (WS), Kraken (WS/synthesized)

Supply Timeline

Supply Timeline

Supply vs Demand + Price Path

SpaceX (SPCX) IPO — gross float, index absorption, net tradable float and illustrative price

Visualization only · not a forecast
Debut pop · ~4× oversubscribed book, ~30% retail allocation and tiny float drive the opening run; options list Jun 16.
Pullback on unlock wave · Post-Q2 earnings + day-70 insider releases expand eligible supply.
Peak on index momentum · Nasdaq-100 fast entry (~Jul 6) drives final wave of mechanical ETF buying.
Overhang clears at 180-day expiry · Final lock-up release takes float to ~33%; supply uncertainty resolved, year-end rebalance buying supports recovery.

Source: Float/unlocks: S-1/A lock-up terms (SEC EDGAR, CII Jun 9 letter) + staggered release schedule (20% post-Q2 earnings, +10% performance bonus, 7% at days 70/90/105/120/135, 28% post-Q3 earnings, 180-day remainder). ~7% freely tradeable at debut per Reuters/MSCI. · Index buying: Provider notices & methodology (research pass Jun 11, 2026). FTSE Russell IPO notices (Jun 4). MSCI Global Standard announcement (Jun 8). CRSP/Vanguard 5-day rule. Nasdaq Fast Entry 15-day rule. Dates assume Jun 12 listing; shift if delayed. · Price path: Best-estimate scenario (research pass Jun 11, 2026) — NOT a forecast. Anchored at $135 IPO; calibrated to ~3.5–4× oversubscription (Reuters), ~7% tradable float, $22–27B index buying Jun 22–Jul 6 (SpotGamma/Pengana), S-1/A unlock schedule, and mega-IPO precedents (BABA, ARM, RIVN, TSLA S&P entry). Post-IPO replaced by live multi-venue prices. · Callouts: Narrative callouts for the best-estimate scenario (research pass Jun 11, 2026) — visualization only, not financial advice.

Filings & Index

Filings

SEC filings

Space Exploration Technologies · CIK 0001181412

Source: SEC EDGAR submissions API · CIK 0001181412 (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) · refreshed every 10 min

Filings

Index inclusion tracker

Estimated passive flow recalculates from the live price

  • CRSP US Total MarketAnnounced

    Effective Jun 22, 2026 · CRSP fast entry: after close of 5th trading day (Jun 18 Thu close → effective Mon Jun 22; Juneteenth closure). Vanguard corporate site; CRSP methodology.

    Per published provider notice or fast-entry methodology

    Est. flow $1.4B≈ 10.7M shares
  • FTSE Global All CapAnnounced

    Effective Jun 22, 2026 · FTSE Russell notice (Jun 4): fast entry after Jun 18 close → effective Mon Jun 22 (Juneteenth market closure Jun 19).

    Per published provider notice or fast-entry methodology

    Est. flow $630M≈ 4.7M shares
  • MSCI USA / Global StandardAnnounced

    Effective Jun 26, 2026 · MSCI notice (Jun 8): large-IPO inclusion effective close of 10th trading day (~Jun 26 Fri). GICS: Alternative Carriers (50101010). ~$5.79T passive AUM tracked.

    Per published provider notice or fast-entry methodology

    Est. flow $1.2B≈ 8.6M shares
  • Russell 1000Announced

    Effective Jun 29, 2026 · FTSE Russell notice (Jun 4): Russell US fast entry deferred to Jun 26 reconstitution close → effective Mon Jun 29 (IPO falls in lock-down window).

    Per published provider notice or fast-entry methodology

    Est. flow $1.4B≈ 10.7M shares
  • Nasdaq-100Announced

    Effective Jul 6, 2026 · Nasdaq Fast Entry (May 1): 15th trading day incl. IPO day = Jul 3 close → effective Mon Jul 6. Est. weight ~0.5–0.7% with 3× float cap (etf.com, Pengana, Nasdaq FAQ).

    Per published provider notice or fast-entry methodology

    Est. flow $3.6B≈ 26.9M shares
  • S&P 500Not eligible

    TBD — est. next rebalance · S&P rejected fast-track (Jun 4). Requires positive GAAP earnings (4-quarter sum) + seasoning — earliest ~2027–2028 (Poole NC State, SpotGamma).

  • Year-end Rebalance BuyingEligible

    Effective Dec 20, 2026 · Illustrative broad passive/ETF year-end rebalance window (timeline model). Russell also has Dec 2026 semi-annual reconstitution.

    Estimated from provider rebalance calendar

    Est. flow $4B≈ 29.6M shares

Source: Provider notices & methodology (research pass Jun 11, 2026). FTSE Russell IPO notices (Jun 4). MSCI Global Standard announcement (Jun 8). CRSP/Vanguard 5-day rule. Nasdaq Fast Entry 15-day rule. Dates assume Jun 12 listing; shift if delayed.

Signal

Signal

News

SpaceX · SPCX · IPO

Source: Google News RSS · query: SpaceX OR SPCX OR "SpaceX IPO" · refreshed every 5 min

Signal

Social

X / Twitter highlights

Follow @alphalytics_ch for live IPO-week coverage, and track the key accounts and cashtags below.

@SpaceX@elonmusk$SPCXSpaceX IPO
Follow @alphalytics_ch

Source: Curated X/Twitter account list · opens x.com in a new tab (no embedded API feed)